Jay Obernolte is safe to win California's 23rd District

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Jay Obernolte*

98%

Probability

Derek Marshall

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+8

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+16

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Derek Marshall	$956,859	$942,608	$2,415	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 California US House 23